The share of hunters at your points who actually drew, for every Ontario moose tag, 2021–2026, from MNRF's own results.
Free check against the 2026 primary draw (first choice). Shows the 5 most-applied tags you'd have drawn.
The minimum points hides the real picture. In WMU 28, hunters sitting right at the minimum drew 6%, 77%, 100% and 22% of the time in four straight years. These are MNRF's numbers, per points level.
2,367 first choices for 184 tags in 2026
Your odds at 6 points, first choice, primary draw:
Tags 544 → 184 in 2026; minimum points 5 (2021) → 6 (2026). 2025: 106 of 106 at 6 points drew. 2026 share arrives in January.
1,271 first choices for 84 tags in 2026
Your odds at 7 points, first choice, primary draw:
Tags 226 → 84 in 2025; minimum points 4 (2021) → 7 (2026). 2025: 22 of 41 at 7 points drew. 2026 share arrives in January.
2,802 first choices for 69 tags in 2026
Your odds at 15 points, first choice, primary draw:
Tags 156 → 69 in 2025; minimum points 17 (2021) → 16 (2026). 2025: 17 of 76 at 15 points drew.
Points update in mid-January; the primary application runs April 1–21. Get the full picture before you pick your three choices.
Delivered by email (PDF + spreadsheet) within 48 hours of MNRF's January data update. Refundable any time until it's delivered.
Includes the full report. Refundable until the plan is delivered.
Online checkout isn't open yet. Reserve your copy: nothing is charged now, and we email you one payment link when it opens. Same price, same refund promise.
From ontario.ca. The 2027 process has changes: a first-choice award in the second chance draw now resets your points even if you don't claim the tag, and there's a new last chance stage.
One short email before each date above, plus a note when the January data lands. About 7 emails a year.
The Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources publishes the moose tag allocation results under the Open Government Licence – Ontario: every tag type, stage, choice and points level, with applicants and tags awarded. We turn those 79,924 rows into odds by points level and add the six-year trend. Source dataset.
The minimum tells you the lowest points that drew, not your chance at that number. At the minimum, the share that drew ranged from 6% to 100% in the same WMU. The report shows the share at every points level, the trend, and where tags were left for 2nd and 3rd choices, for every tag in one place.
No. Draw Odds is independent and not affiliated with the Government of Ontario. Past results don't guarantee future draws: quotas and rules change (they do in 2027). For the rules themselves, read the official process page and the Hunting Regulations Summary.
MNRF's results count the Northern Ontario preference point in WMUs 1–42. Tick the box in the checker and we add it for those units.
No. All hunters apply as individuals; there are no group applications (ontario.ca). The 3-choice plan covers party strategy (who applies for which tag and who builds points).
Pre-orders and plans are refundable any time until delivery; just reply to your receipt. See terms.